In-depth political risk and macroeconomic analysis, robust 10-year forecasts and latest information on the local business environment for more than 200 markets.
Quarterly BMI Country Risk reports for 120+ markets. Daily analysis of data releases, currency movements, elections, policy changes, and interest rate decisions.
Political and economic risk indices, comparing and ranking the attractiveness of 200 markets globally and regionally, underpinned by GeoQuant’s accurate and predictive political risk data.
Comprehensive and robust 10-year forecasts for more than 100 key macroeconomic indicators, standardized across 200 markets.
30 years of accurate, standardized, and comparable macroeconomic data across global markets.
Take a look at some of the latest BMI Country Risk case studies to understand how we integrate political, macroeconomic, and industry expertise into all our views.
Discover how we ensure that our forecasts are consistent, coherent, and transparent. BMI’s methodology is fully scrutinized by our analysts from different economic, political, and industry viewpoints.
Get insight into the composite scores behind BMI’s proprietary Country Risk Index, which quantifies the risk of a shock (such as an economic crisis or sudden change in the political environment) in over 200 markets.
Learn how BMI experts collate, verify, and standardize data from over 2,000 sources across global markets, allowing you more time to analyze, explore, and execute your strategy.
FEATURED EVENTAnalysts and special guests discuss the key and political and geopolitical risks to watch.
INTRODUCINGMeasure ESG risks to business and economic activity with comparable country-level ESG data and insights.
NEW PRODUCTAssess, benchmark and compare the impact of the energy transition and the progress to net-zero across country markets.
FEATURED PRODUCTQuantify and track the impact of political risk events with high-frequency predictive data, robust analytics and deep country-level insights.
FEATURED SOLUTIONEnhance your internal Sovereign Credit Assessments with country risk insights from BMI and Fitch Ratings, connected to your workflow by the Sovereign Scorecard.
FEATURED PRODUCTDiscover BMI's data tool that measures the vulnerability of a country’s banking system to economic shocks.
BMI’s expertise is built on 40 years of analyzing political and economic risk in markets where high-quality information is hard to find and even harder to interpret.
Our commitment to independence, objectivity, and transparency is unshakeable. BMI’s robust methodologies and impartial views ensure clients always have access to accurate, unbiased analysis.
BMI provides deep insight, forecasts, and data for more than 200 markets, with frequent, systematic updates that allow our clients to monitor and compare markets quickly and efficiently.
Access BMI’s extensive political and macroeconomic analyses and data for 200+ countries via our Web research experience, API, or Excel Add-In. Whichever delivery method you choose, our expert onboarding and client success teams work with you to ensure your success in monitoring and quantifying risks across multiple markets.
BMI - A New Research Experience 2024By integrating political, macroeconomic, financial, and industry expertise into all our country risk analysis, our clients gain a full understanding of how each impacts the other in their chosen markets. Find out how BMI could help you.
BMI’s highly-responsive team of analysts based in London, Manchester, New York, Singapore and Pretoria will always be on hand to explain growth forecasts, present an outlook for a region, or help our clients understand the implications of different risk scenarios.
We call this ‘Analyst Added Value’.
Managing Director, Global Head of Country Risk, BMI
Cedric Chehab is Managing Director and Global Head of Country Risk at BMI, where he helps ensure the coherence of global macro and country risk strategy. Based in Singapore, Cedric previously served as Head of Asia Research, where he was responsible for all Asia-based country risk analysis and industry research. Before that he was Head of Americas Research, based in New York. From 2008 to 2010, Cedric worked in London as Head of Commodities Research and Strategy. He has also worked in management consulting at Accenture. Cedric holds an MSc in Economic History from the London School of Economics and a BA in Politics, Philosophy and Economics from the University of Essex.
Head of Political & Security Risk, BMI
Yoel Sano, Director, Head of Geopolitical Risk, leads research for BMI Politics, BMI’s latest political risk service underpinned by GeoQuant. Prior to assuming this role in 2009, he was Head of Asia Country Risk at BMI, having joined the company in 2003. He specializes in international security risks, great power competition, domestic political and social transformation, and long-term forecasting. Yoel has a BA in Geography from Oxford University, and an MA in Theory and History of International Relations from the London School of Economics.
Global DM Economist
Prior to joining BMI, Daniele Fraietta worked for almost seven years as a Country Risk Analyst at Dun and Bradstreet, covering Southern European economies. He has an MSc in Economics and an MBA from the Politecnico di Milano and a Masters in International Business from the Florida International University's Chapman College of Business. His main areas of expertise are macroeconomic analysis and forecasting and econometrics.
Global Economist, Emerging Markets
John Ashbourne is BMI’s most senior emerging markets economist. He was previously a senior economist at Capital Economics. John holds degrees from the University of Toronto and the London School of Economics.
Head of Europe Country Risk
Anwita Basu joined BMI in 2019 as the Head of the Asia Country Risk team. Since November 2021 she has been the Head of Europe Country Risk. She was formerly with the Economist Intelligence Unit where she was a senior Asia analyst and the country risk services manager for the region. Before joining the Economist Group she worked as an economist at Trusted Sources (now known as TS Lombard). Over the years she has extensively covered some of the major emerging markets including Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and will now focus her efforts on Turkiye and Central Asia. Anwita has a master’s degree in Economics from the University of Warwick where she specialized in Labor Economics and Public Policy.
Head of Sub-Saharan Africa Country Risk
Jane Morley is Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Risk team at BMI, based in London. She has more than 25 years of experience covering political, macroeconomic and operating risk in individual African markets, as well as broader pan-African developments. Jane joined BMI in 2018. Prior to this she worked at the Economist Intelligence Unit, focusing on a range of African economies including Angola, Ethiopia and Zimbabwe. She has a degree in English Literature from the University of London.
Head of MENA Country Risk & Global Banking
Ramona Moubarak joined BMI in June 2021 to lead the Middle East and North Africa Country Risk team, based in London. In January 2023, Ramona was appointed Head of Banking to further develop the product. She has spent over a decade building her experience in political, macroeconomic and financial risk assessments for emerging markets. Prior to joining BMI, Ramona led a team of analysts who covered over 40 emerging markets for Lebanon’s Byblos Bank. A native Arabic speaker, Ramona is also fluent in French and English. She holds a Master’s degree in Financial Economics from the American University of Beirut and a Bachelor degree in Economic Sciences from Université Saint-Joseph.
Head of Americas Country Risk
Conor Beakey is an Associate Director on our Global Strategy Team. He is based in the New York office and covers the North American region. Prior to joining BMI, Conor worked as an economist at Allied Irish Bank and as a research intern in the Irish Revenue Commissioners. He holds a BA degree in Economics from Trinity College Dublin and an MSc in Applied Economics from University College Dublin.
Head of Asia Country Risk
Darren Tay is BMI’s Head of Asia Country Risk and has been analysing developed, emerging and frontier economies since joining the industry in 2018, including the two largest, China and Japan. He now applies that experience guiding a team of country risk analysts in covering the region, while continuing to closely monitor China. He was previously a Senior Country Risk Analyst at BMI leading the company’s China service and Japan Economist at Capital Economics. Darren graduated Summa Cum Laude with a BSc (Economics) and a Bachelor’s degree in Business Administration from the Singapore Management University.
Oct 09, 2024
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Sep 26, 2024
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Sep 17, 2024
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Apr 03, 2024
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Feb 15, 2024
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Jan 29, 2024
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Dec 18, 2023
Webinar | 08:00 London GMT | 16:00 Singapore SGT | 12:00 Dubai GST
Dec 07, 2023
Webinar | 14:30 London GMT | 09:30 New York EST
Nov 30, 2023
Webinar | Asia-Pacific 16:00 SGT | Europe 14:30 BST
Nov 20, 2023
Webinar | 11:00 New York EST | 13:00 Buenos Aires ART
Nov 15, 2023
Webinar | 10:00 London GMT | 12:00 South Africa SAST
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Nov 07, 2023
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Oct 31, 2023
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Oct 25, 2023
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Webinar | 09:00 New York EDT | 14:00 London BST
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Webinar | 15:00 London BST
Oct 18, 2023
Webinar | 10:00 London BST | 11:00 Central European Time CET
Oct 17, 2023
Webinar | 14:30 Singapore SGT | 15:30 Tokyo JST
Sep 27, 2023
Webinar | Americas 09:30 EST | Europe 14:30 BST
Sep 13, 2023
Webinar | 15:00 London BST | 10:00 New York EDT
Discover the key themes that BMI analysts believe will play out globally, regionally, and across core industries in 2024.
Our GeoQuant model estimates the presidential election as too close to call. However, Biden is in a weak position, with an approval rating well below levels consistent with the reelection of an incumbent. He has been hurt by his administration’s stance on the ongoing Israel Gaza conflict, but perceptions of the economy remain the President’s biggest problem.
BMI expects real GDP growth in Latin America to ease from 2.2% in 2023 to 1.6% in 2024.
At BMI, we expect that Israel’s expanded military operations in the city of Rafah in the Gaza Strip will further isolate Israel and increase tensions in the region.
As we and the consensus expected, the People's Bank of China held the one-year MLF rate unchanged at 2.50% in May.
The outlook for the global economy has remained relatively unchanged since April, and we continue to forecast global growth to come in at 2.4% in 2024.
Our GeoQuant model estimates the presidential election as too close to call. However, Biden is in a weak position, with an approval rating well below levels consistent with the reelection of an incumbent. He has been hurt by his administration’s stance on the ongoing Israel Gaza conflict, but perceptions of the economy remain the President’s biggest problem.
The CEE region is having a growth upswing as GDP growth picked up in Q124. Although we expect growth to maintain an uptrend, it will remain below the historical average.
After Iran's missile and drone strikes on Israel on April 13-14, Israel responded with a small-scale missile strike targeting Isfahan on April 19. The measured retaliation was largely symbolic and aligns with our Middle East & North Africa Country Risk team's view that both nations will aim for de-escalation.
European Sales Planning, Global Automotive Components Manufacturer
The reports are the most valuable tool for us. We have found them very solid and reliable in terms of the context of what’s happening on an economic and political level. It helps us to put things in context as to why things are happening in the market… it saves us a lot of time
Country Risk Analyst, Export Credit Agency
[BMI] are probably best-in-class in terms of the comprehensiveness of their coverage and the responsiveness to current events… the combination of industry and country is a really strong point
Business Strategy Specialist, Global Engineering Company
I’d rate [BMI] best-in-class for reports, specifically country-wide macro reports. Honestly I find this platform to be the most well-rounded of those I have used regularly so far.”
BMI’s comprehensive forecasts were once again recognized by FocusEconomics as being amongst the most accurate globally, reflecting our deep knowledge of frontier and emerging markets.
Quantify and track the impact of political risk events with high-frequency predictive data and analytics from GeoQuant, and deep insights from BMI.
Need information fast? Over 2,000 country and industry reports are available to purchase and download immediately at our Reports Store.
Global coverage of more than 20 industries and 35 commodities, plus thematic research on cross-industry trends.
Detailed analysis of business environment risks and comparable data evaluating the ease of doing business in world markets.
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Quickly and thoroughly evaluate the creditworthiness of a company, country, or security with timely, independent credit research from Fitch Ratings.
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